Here are some brief answers to some non-technical questions about AGI/Singularity that I get asked a lot…
Q: When do you think AGI will be created at the current rate?
A: The “current rate” is hard to define, given the reality of exponential acceleration, and the difficulty of estimating the exponent for acceleration of AGI development. My best guess is that, if there’s no massive and well-done funding infusion, we’ll get it sometime between 2020 and 2035. (By “AGI” I mean human-level AGI, though not necessarily precise human intelligence emulation.)
